Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.004567 0.005148 0.005807 0.006616 0.007595 0.008752 0.010243
2026-02-08 0.003639 0.004331 0.005182 0.006328 0.007865 0.009913 0.012953
2026-02-15 0.003240 0.004005 0.005001 0.006433 0.008519 0.011586 0.016746
2026-02-22 0.002884 0.003661 0.004713 0.006303 0.008768 0.012688 0.020029
2026-03-01 0.002593 0.003358 0.004428 0.006109 0.008851 0.013514 0.023123
2026-03-08 0.002374 0.003128 0.004212 0.005973 0.008981 0.014426 0.026755
2026-03-15 0.002267 0.003045 0.004196 0.006140 0.009642 0.016476 0.033917
2026-03-22 0.002192 0.002998 0.004224 0.006379 0.010475 0.019128 0.044416
2026-03-29 0.002135 0.002971 0.004279 0.006667 0.011461 0.022478 0.060073
2026-04-05 0.002015 0.002835 0.004143 0.006589 0.011687 0.024113 0.071755
2026-04-12 0.001909 0.002714 0.004017 0.006512 0.011897 0.025792 0.085865
2026-04-19 0.001797 0.002575 0.003852 0.006338 0.011854 0.026767 0.098283
2026-04-26 0.001671 0.002410 0.003637 0.006066 0.011591 0.027187 0.109973
2026-05-03 0.001557 0.002260 0.003440 0.005810 0.011331 0.027580 0.123267
2026-05-10 0.001506 0.002211 0.003416 0.005903 0.011955 0.031230 0.171712
2026-05-17 0.001431 0.002116 0.003300 0.005788 0.012018 0.032958 0.212045
2026-05-24 0.001355 0.002014 0.003165 0.005616 0.011894 0.033935 0.250790
2026-05-31 0.001292 0.001932 0.003059 0.005495 0.011889 0.035446 0.309393
2026-06-07 0.001267 0.001914 0.003073 0.005643 0.012696 0.041133 0.514551
2026-06-14 0.001250 0.001909 0.003112 0.005855 0.013762 0.049200 1.045577
2026-06-21 0.001238 0.001912 0.003166 0.006110 0.015057 0.060301 2.973761
2026-06-28 0.001194 0.001854 0.003092 0.006041 0.015246 0.064818 5.944953
2026-07-05 0.001153 0.001798 0.003021 0.005973 0.015424 0.069618 15.075069